Wednesday, May 6, 2009

SLV - The Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout


The SLV gapped away to the upside on the strength of Monday's breakout of the Bullish Falling Wedge. The top of the Wedge comes in today at 12.614 if the SLV should pull back that far for a retest of the breakout.

4 comments:

mark said...

They forgot to give us a chance to buy it.

Melf Elf said...

Mark,

Yeah, that's too bad. It's also too bad that I didn't look at this chart two days before I did. The 12.31 Buy Signal on Friday was a very nice entry. She's up 10% from there, and nearing the first upside target of 13.73.

mark said...

I've often wondered how to handle so many charts. I assumed that most people used a pattern id program but I also felt it was too advanced for me at this point. Somewhere I am sure there are computerized programs that identify a host of alerts, I wonder how effective they are.

Melf Elf said...

Mark,

In my view, the difficulty with programs that identify a host of alerts is that they are "indicator alerts," and the indicators don't know what the chart looks like.

For example, indicators often give overbought/oversold Sell and Buy alerts, but when charts are in strong trends, those signals aren't very reliable. Charts can stay overbought and oversold for a long, long time.

If there are programs that do identify the patterns that we discuss AND give Buy and Sell alerts from a few indicators, I'm unaware of them, but that would be great.

Example: "SLV will break out of a Bullish Falling Wedge at 12.69. The 8, 55 and 89 RSIs already have given a Buy Signal on May 1, etc."

If there were a program that would tell us something like that, it would be WONDERFUL, but then it probably wouldn't work because everyone would be playing the same breakouts and breakdowns ;)

So-o, I guess we've got to do the grunt work and try to find the patterns and the breakouts, support and resistance, etc.